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Washington Nationals: What a Stinker

August 24, 2010

I’ve been out of the country on business for the better part of a month. I went to Nats Park last night for the first time since shortly after the All-Star break. I was really looking forward to a live baseball game again. I didn’t make it to the end of the game. What a stinker. It looked like 2008 all over again. The Nats have a couple of guys in the line-up that have been passed by father time. A couple more who are at best AAAA players. Say all you want to about the amount of money the Nats are spending on prospects and the draft – right now they aren’t even trying at the Major League level.

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Washington Nationals: Is Tyler Clippard Injured?

July 8, 2010

On his Nats Insider blog Wednesday, Mark Zuckerman asked the question “What’s wrong with Tyler Clippard?” He made this observation:

From Opening Day through June 22, Clippard allowed 47 opposing batters to reach base in 45 2/3 innings. But in six appearances since then, he’s allowed a staggering 18 batters to reach in only 5 2/3 innings. He’s also allowed 10 runs (seven earned), raising his ERA from 1.58 to 2.63.

Other than injury, what could cause Clippard to struggle like this? I looked at the Pitch F/X data, and was shocked by what I saw. According to Pitch F/X, Tyler Clippard has not thrown a curve ball since May 19th. Here is my post from Federal Baseball.

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Washington Nationals: Winning Percentage and other Stats

June 30, 2010

Two schools of thought have emerged recently on how to fix the Nats. One side argues that if the Nats top of the order can get on base more, the Nats power hitters will hit more 2 and 3 run home runs, and the Nats will win more games. One other side in the “how to fix the Nats” argument suggests that if the Nats would just stop committing so many errors, they would win more games. Is one side right and the other wrong? Are both sides right? Is it a combination plus other problems to rectify? Let’s take a look.
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Washington Nationals: 25 Days of Offensive Futility

June 24, 2010

The Washington Nationals offense has been mired in a month long slump. Every day, the Nats make opposing pitchers look like a combo Bob Gibson, Greg Maddux, and Cy Young. How bad is the offense? Are they significantly underperforming, or have they run into a string of pitchers on top of their games?

Here’s my post from Federal Baseball that looks at the last 25 days:

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Umpires and Technology

June 20, 2010

Watching the Nats/White Sox game Saturday at Nats Park, I came to the realization that it’s time for technology to replace home plate umpires. Home Plate Umpire Sam Holbrook was a disaster. He had his own unique strike zone that made the game completely unwatchable. Two average pitching performances were turned into Cy Young auditions with Holbrook’s generous strike zone. Batters on both sides were unable to hit pitches called strikes, leaving the fans to stare at a 1-0 snoozefest.

On June 17th, the Wall Street Journal had an excellent piece (here) discussing major league umpires, Stephen Strasburg, and Pitch F/X. In it David Biderman wrote:

According to a consensus of umpires, a good umpire will make one bad call on a pitch every two innings—or about four or five per game.

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Washington Nationals: John Lannan’s Disappearing Sinker

June 17, 2010

For the last several years, John Lannan has been a solid starting pitcher for the Nats. He has relied on a two seam (sinking) fastball to produce ground balls. Even when he has allowed runners to reach base, he has been able to get out of jams by inducing batters to ground into double plays. This year has been a different story. He’s struggled to get batters to hit ground balls. He’s entered the death spiral of starting pitchers – he’s struggled to get batters out, which has forced him to pitch to additional batters each inning, which has forced him to throw too many pitches, which has forced him to leave games early. Let’s compare Lannan’s 2010 effort to his Pitch F/X data from 2009.

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Washington Nationals: Stephen Strasburg Game Comparisons

June 15, 2010

On Sunday, Stephen Strasburg pitched his 2nd career MLB game, giving up 2 hits and 5 walks while piling up 8 strikeouts in 5.1 innings. Although Strasburg was frustrated with his performance, and even more frustrated with the dangerous mound conditions in Cleveland, it was still an excellent effort for the Nats rookie.

In his first game, Strasburg threw 94 pitches to 24 batters – 11 lefties and 13 righties. In addition to his blazing four seam fastball, Strasburg tended to throw his two-seamer to lefties and his curveball to righties. (For those of you who missed my full breakdown of game one – click here). Against the Indians, Strasburg threw to 95 pitches to 23 batters – 18 lefties and 5 righties. Did this different mix of lefty and righty batters impact his pitch selection? Here’s my post from Federal Baseball:

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Washington Nationals: Stephen Strasburg and Pitch F/X

June 12, 2010

Greg Fiume - Getty Images

Washington Nationals phenom Stephen Strasburg set the baseball world on fire Tuesday night with his record breaking debut. Those of us lucky enough to attend sat, stood, jumped, and screamed in disbelief as Strasburg threw one of the all-time great games. The stadium scoreboard twice flashed the century mark on four seam fastballs. Pirates‘ batters were lucky to leave the batter’s box without pulling a muscle, their swings contorted to helpless flailing. Now that the dust has settled, let’s look at the Pitch F/X data to see what we can learn about the wunderkind. Here’s my post from Federal Baseball.

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Washington Nationals: Out Rates and Other Stats

June 6, 2010

Earlier this week, I wrote a post on Federal Baseball that discussed Out Rates, and their impact on the Nats (lack of) run production. To see the post, click here. I received several questions regarding out rates and correlation to other stats – SLG, AVG, Runs per Plate Appearance, OPS, and OBP. Here are the answers to those questions.

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Washington Nationals: Are win/loss records impacted by early season road games?

June 3, 2010

There has been a lot of discussion recently regarding the Nats 2010 schedule. Specifically, comments have been made regarding the difficulty of the Nats schedule, the 20 games in 20 days streak, and the fact that the Nats have 31 road games in their first 55 games. The Nats are currently completing a 10 game road trip that included 6 games on the west coast and 4 in Houston. The blogosphere is eager to see that Nats come home to help get back above .500. So here’s the question – is there a correlation between a team’s early season home/away ratio and a team’s win/loss record? Will the Nats return to Nats Park help the winning percentage?

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